# USGS Projects Critical Mineral Capacity

On November 12, 2026, the U.S. Geological Survey released its World Minerals Outlook, projecting global production-capacity growth through 2030 for eight critical minerals. The outlook forecasts capacity increases of 20% for natural graphite and 18% for potash, while highlighting supply-chain exposure tied to production concentrated in China and Brazil. It does not announce a solicitation or contract award; procurement teams can use the projections to assess sourcing risks and potential opportunities in U.S. production and allied supply.

- Procurement professionals and contractors can compare their mineral dependencies with the outlook’s production projections and exposure to concentrated sources.
- The findings point to potential commercial opportunities in U.S. mineral production and allied sourcing, but do not identify a specific funded program or acquisition.
- Ned Mamula said the information will help inform policies and investments to secure critical-mineral supplies, making the outlook relevant to longer-term supply-chain planning.

**Jurisdictions:** federal
**Industries:** Energy & Utilities, Defense & Military
**Published:** November 13, 2026

### Government Entities
- U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
- U.S. Department of the Interior (DOI)
- U.S. Department of State (State Department)

### Key Quotes
> This information will help plan the policies and investments that will ensure supplies of critical minerals to drive the U.S. economy and national security.
> — Ned Mamula, Director of the U.S. Geological Survey

> In the 21st century, mineral security is national security.
> — Andrea Travnicek, Assistant Secretary of the Interior

### Sources
- [USGS Projects World Production Capacity for 8 Critical Minerals from 2026 to 2030 | U.S. Geological Survey](https://www.usgs.gov/news/national-news-release/usgs-projects-world-production-capacity-8-critical-minerals-2026-2030) - USGS